"So, you're telling me there's a chance?" Lloyd Christmas's famous quote rings true in just about every situation, even for Oscar-nominated long shots. We broke down the winning odds for nominees in five major 2017 Academy Awards categories. Your Oscar pool just got a little shallower.

Best Supporting Actor
-The Frontrunner: Mahershala Ali ('Moonlight') 1:5
-The Longshot: Dev Patel ('Lion') 16:1
-The Dark Horse: Michael Shannon ('Nocturnal Animals') 11:2

Best Actor
-The Frontrunner: Casey Affleck ('Manchester by the Sea') 1:4
-The Longshot: Viggo Mortensen ('Captain Fantastic') 66:1
-The Dark Horse: Denzel Washington ('Fences') 4:1

Best Supporting Actress
-The Frontrunner: Viola Davis ('Fences') 1:18
-The Longshot: Octavia Spencer ('Hidden Figures') 100:1
-The Dark Horse: Naomie Harris ('Moonlight') 10:1

Best Actress
-The Frontrunner: Emma Stone ('La La Land') 5:6
-The Longshot: Meryl Streep ('Florence Foster Jenkins') 75:1
-The Dark Horse: Isabelle Huppert ('Elle') 5:1

Best Picture
-The Frontrunner: 'La La Land' 1:6
-The Longshot: 'Lion' 100:1
-The Dark Horse: 'Moonlight' 5:1